![]() Crop and hydrologic models can translate these observations into impacts. Midseason droughts are monitored using multiple cutting-edge Earth-observing systems. This DEWS uses diagnostic analyses to guide predictions. Here we describe FEWS NET’s multiagency multidisciplinary DEWS and Food Security Outlooks. While drought monitoring and prediction provides just one part of FEWS NET’s monitoring system, it draws from many disciplines-remote sensing, climate prediction, agroclimatic monitoring, and hydrologic modeling. Here we provide an overview of FEWS NET’s DEWS using examples from recent climate extremes. FEWS NET depends on a Drought Early Warning System (DEWS) to help understand, monitor, model, and predict food insecurity. Agency for International Development’s Famine Early Warning Systems Network (FEWS NET) has been providing evidence-based guidance for effective humanitarian relief efforts. Yet these slow-onset disasters also provide opportunities for effective intervention, as seen in Ethiopia in 2015 and Somalia in 2017. As seen in Ethiopia in 1984 and Somalia in 2011, food shortages can lead to famine. When the rains fail, incomes diminish while food prices increase, cutting off the poorest (most often women and children) from access to adequate nutrition. Most live in Africa, Central America, or Southwest Asia. Key informant information suggests that some areas of the southwest continue to see increases in admissions for therapeutic feeding relative to normal, which may indicate continued impact of below-average food access.On a planet with a population of more than 7 billion, how do we identify the millions of drought-afflicted people who face a real threat of livelihood disruption or death without humanitarian assistance? Typically, these people are poor and heavily dependent on rainfed agriculture and livestock. A decline in livestock prices compared to average has also contributed to lower livestock-to-cereal terms of trade. Though declining, food inflation is still 23 percent above average and negatively affecting poor households’ purchasing power. This is driven by the appreciation of the national currency and the increase and regularity in the supply of food through the Strategic Food Reserve (REA).įood inflation has also decreased, increasing 11 percent year-on-year relative to 13 percent last month. In 2022, there was a strong deceleration in the inflation level, with the inflation rate at the end of the year reaching the lowest values of the last five years: 14 percent against 27 percent at the end of 2021. Over the past month, inflation declined slightly from 15 percent to 14 percent, and the exchange rate declined slightly from 504 AOA/USD to 503 AOA/USD. According to the Ministry of Agriculture, the area planted is expected to be 30 percent higher than the 2021/2022 agricultural season, though this will be driven by higher planting in northern and central areas while southern areas will likely release somewhat lower than normal production due to the lingering impact of past droughts. In southwestern areas, rainfall totals are above the same time last year. While this is lower than average in most areas, the deficits are relatively small, on the order of 5-15 percent below normal. However, recession season crops are largely not anticipated in the southwest and improvement to Stressed (IPC Phase 2) is only likely in this area once the cereal harvest is available around June/July.īetween October and mid-January, the first half of the main rainy season, northern and central areas of the country have received between 400 and 500 mm of rainfall, while southern areas have received around 25 to 250 mm of rainfall. The harvest is also increasing supply in the main markets in these provinces. Harvesting has started in north and central provinces, improving food availability among poor households who rely on this season for over a quarter of their food supply. Nationally, food security is improving slightly with the harvest of horticulture crops from the recession (nacas) season. The peak of the lean season is ongoing in much of Angola, and Crisis (IPC Phase 3) outcomes are expected among populations of highest concern in the southwest of the country. ![]()
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